美國的通膨數據未能觸發科技股反彈

受一些喜憂參半的通膨數據影響,美國 納斯達克100指數 週三下跌。

NAS 100 – Daily Chart

納斯達克100日線圖

週三,納斯達克100指數的價格顯示出潛在的看跌背景,這可能是通膨數據公佈後的一個警訊。

川普總統一直批評聯準會主席鮑威爾未能降低利率。

現在,他的副總統JD萬斯也把矛頭指向鮑威爾。他說:

萬斯寫道:“總統這麼說已經有一段時間了,但更明確的是:聯準會拒絕降息是貨幣政策上的不當行為。”

聯準會主席鮑威爾下周可能無法提高利率,並暗示他希望利率維持在高位。在貿易戰導致油價迅速反彈至高峰之後,這可能會動搖市場近期的自滿情緒。科技股多頭的另一個擔憂是,最近的 財報季 並沒有提振科技 市場。

5月份,美國消費者物價的漲幅低於預期。汽油價格的下跌部分抵消了租金上漲的影響。然而,在川普政府徵收進口關稅的背景下,預計未來幾個月通膨將大幅上升。這可能意味著聯準會主席將在更長的時間內繼續談論更高的利率。在最近日本債券市場需求不足之後,他可能仍會維持利率不變,以吸引債券投資者。

零售業巨頭沃爾瑪上個月表示,它將在5月底和6月開始漲價。預計下週三聯準會將維持利率不變,金融市場預期9月將放鬆貨幣政策。

麻省理工學院的Daniel Hornung表示:“這份報告是另一個指標,表明我們正朝著在關稅和經濟不確定性出現之前通脹回落到目標水平的方向前進,未來進展的主要障礙是與關稅相關的價格上漲。”

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