隨著匯價測試關鍵支撐位,美元兌日圓重新被交易者聚焦

隨著美元兌日圓在測試支撐位,可能會加劇市場的避險情緒。

USDJPY – Daily Chart

美元兌日圓-日線圖

美元兌日圓正在測試149的支撐位,如果失敗,可能會導致進一步的下行。

交易員們押注,隨著日本通膨上升,日本央行今年將繼續升息。上週公佈的數據顯示,日本1月的核心通膨率觸及19個月高點。此外,來自日本的服務業生產者物價指數強調了薪資上漲正在說服企業將更高的成本轉嫁給消費者的觀點。對日本央行的鷹派預期也有助於推動日圓走強。

在美元方面,市場擔心川普總統將透過削減聯邦工人水準和削減開支來提高效率,加劇經濟衰退。總體而言,75,000名聯邦工作人員接受了辭職方案,並將被添加到下一個薪資資料中。 b他的政府也開始了在全國範圍內解僱試用聯邦僱員的過程,大約有22萬聯邦僱員在火線上。

Ritholtz財富管理公司首席策略師Callie Cox表示,這兩類人的總數將達到約30萬人,相當於「美國史上最大規模的裁員」。

在不確定時期,日圓也被用作避險貨幣,這在政治和經濟嚴重不確定的時期刺激了需求。交易應該謹慎,因為許多投機性資產正在測試支撐位,而英偉達在周三美國股市收盤後的業績是一個高風險事件,可能成就市場,也可能破壞市場。

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