隨著央行利率決定的到來,美元兌日圓備受關注

由於日本央行和聯準會的利率決定,美元兌日圓匯率可能會出現波動。

USDJPY – Daily Chart
美元兌日圓-日線圖

美元兌日圓交易於144.11,下方支撐位142.40開始發揮作用。進一步的支撐位在140下方。

除了日本央行和聯準會的會議外,隨著中東局勢再度緊張,日圓可能會看到來自避險需求的投資流入。

週二上午是日本央行利率會議,記者會定於香港時間下午2:30舉行。路透社對經濟學家進行的一項調查顯示,由於美國關稅政策的不確定性,日本央行今年將不會再次升息。經濟學家預計,下一次升息將在2026年初。

在6月2-10日的調查中,受訪的60位經濟學家中沒有人預期日本央行會在6月16-17日的政策會議上升息。 52%的經濟學家預計年底借款成本將維持在0.50%的水準。

下一個重要的數據點將是周三的聯準會會議,預計川普總統將在會議上向他的降息目標施加壓力。川普再次要求央行降息100個基點,即1%,此前週三公佈了新的消費者通膨數據。

川普稱5月的消費者物價指數是一個「偉大」的數字,並表示「聯準會應該降息整整一個百分點」。

這將繼續成為一個話題,最多只降息25個基點,可能會引發川普和鮑威爾之間的緊張關係。

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