美元兌日圓聚焦鮑威爾和植田和男對話

在當前的避險需求、關稅動盪和最近的債券市場問題的環境下,美元兌日圓匯率是值得關注的有趣因素。

USDJPY – Daily Chart
美元兌日圓-日線圖

美元兌日圓匯價在146的水平上遇到了阻力,現在看起來在142.40的水平上得到了支撐。

聯準會主席鮑威爾將在香港時間週二凌晨1點發表會話,談論貨幣政策。這可能會在股市開盤前引發外匯匯率波動。

投資人將在香港時間下午15點50分關注日本央行總裁植田和男的對話。

鮑威爾已經發布了2025年的貨幣政策展望。

「至關重要的是,聯準會必須了解其他國家政府和央行的政策和做法,以及它們對美國經濟和金融市場的影響。當然,匯率政策現在牢牢掌握在美國財政部手中,」鮑威爾表示。

「正如我們在大流行期間看到的那樣,了解全球貿易和資本流動自1950年以來變得越來越重要。該部門幫助編制國際資本流動的數據,並花了數十年時間研究這些流動和國際貿易對美國和外國經濟的影響。了解這個複雜而相互關聯的網絡,對我們預測就業和通膨的路徑至關重要。」

由於關稅情勢仍混亂且不穩定,各國央行正處於「觀望」狀態。未來幾個月仍有可能出現更高的通膨,預計未來一年的成長將受到抑制。

由於目前債券市場需求疲軟和關稅問題,日圓可能會下跌,但隨著衝突加劇,投資人也在尋找歐元區以外的避風港。

隨著經濟數據的釋放和央行的言論可能被避險資金所抵消,這使得美元兌日圓成為值得關注的組合。日本央行也收到了金融機構的請求,要求從2026財年開始略微放慢縮減購債的步伐,儘管最近債券市場出現了一些問題。

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