日本央行維持利率穩定後,美元兌日圓反彈

總結

日本央行決定維持穩定的利率,加上樂觀的經濟前景,美元兌日圓從近期低點反彈。

日本央行上週維持利率不變,導緻美元兌日圓反彈。

USDJPY - Daily Chart

美元兌日圓-日線圖

美元兌日圓匯率已從先前的支撐位140.23反彈,這是進入2024年以來的最低水準。現在在146.47處有一個障礙。

由於聯準會放鬆利率,美元最近一直在下滑。

日本央行維持利率不變,並修正了消費評估,顯示對經濟強勁復甦的信心進一步增強。這可能會讓央行在未來幾個月再次提高利率。

日本央行一如預期地將短期利率維持在0.25%不變,同時指出國內經濟狀況有所改善,這繼續暗示多年來的寬鬆貨幣政策即將結束。

日本央行的聲明表示:「儘管受到物價上漲和其他因素的影響,私人消費一直處於溫和增長的趨勢。」該評估比之前的報告更為樂觀,並指出消費具有彈性。

「我們的貨幣政策決定將取決於當時的經濟、物價和金融發展情況,」日本央行總裁植田和男錶示。

“日本的實際利率仍然極低。如果我們的經濟和物價預期達到,我們將提高利率,並相應地調整貨幣支持的程度。”

儘管聯準會降息,美元仍反彈,並將在當前低點尋找底部。聯準會暗示今年將進一步降息50個基點,2025年將進一步降息。然而,日本央行在其利率週期中沒有採取升息行動,這使得美元恢復了一些強勢。市場現在將把注意力轉向經濟數據,看它是否支持日本央行和聯準會的評估。

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