美製造業PMI預期放緩

今年首個公佈的美國非農數據, 金融市場 預測上月非農就業增加至 40 萬,失業率下降至 4.1%,若結果達到或超越預期屬利好美元。技術上,美元在過去一個月在95.5至96.9區間波動,若短期突破95.5,將留意下一級支持95.1。相反,若美元重返96 水平併升越10和20日線,下一個阻力位96.7 或96.9水平。

預期歐羅區通脹放緩

踏入2022年,法國成為歐盟擔任輪任國主席為期半年,歐盟成員國關係和對外貿易關係將成為焦點。另外,最受市場關心的通脹飆升問題,週四及週五的德國和歐羅區12 月CPI 初值將成為亮點。市場預期歐羅區通脹在 11 月躍升至同比 4.9%,預計 12 月將放緩至 4.7%。另外,本週將有大量德國和歐羅區經濟數據,包括製造業和服務業PMI,零售銷售,工業產出和PPI等。由於歐羅區增長前景受到 Omicron 浪潮的衝擊,以上的數據該浪潮導致多個歐洲政府採取更嚴厲的經濟活動限制措施,這樣可影響歐羅的上行空間受到有限,留意短期上方的阻力位分別是1.1410 或1.1430水平。若突破失敗,留意技術支持位1.1300或1.1275。

油價倘上漲可撐加元

歐佩克及其盟友將於週二舉行會議,討論其月度產量設定。該聯盟可能會堅持其現有的每月增加 40 萬桶原油的計劃。儘管 Omicron 為 2022 年的需求前景蒙上了陰影,但預計病例激增對航空旅行和原油需求的干擾是暫時的。如果歐佩克+對需求前景持樂觀態度, 油價 有可能繼續上漲並間接支撐加元, 美元兌加元 可望藉此下探1.2565或1.2500。

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