白銀價格跟隨全球通脹放緩而回落

隨著全球通脹降溫,銀價承壓。

XAGUSD: Daily Chart

XAGUSD日圖

銀價最近反彈至25美元上方,但此後回落至24美元以下。

上週五公佈的美國就業數據導致白銀價格下滑,因為招聘放緩損害了通脹上升的前景。貴金屬被視為對沖價格上漲的工具,這將給需求降溫。

凱投宏觀大宗商品經濟學家Kieran Tompkins在一份新的價格預測中警告投資者,今年剩餘時間內白銀可能保持中性。油價可能回落至22.50美元。

他表示,影響白銀的最重要因素是美元,這家總部位於英國的研究公司預計美元將繼續上漲。

他寫道:“簡而言之,我們認為在今年剩餘時間裡,利差還有進一步擴大美元近期漲勢的空間,從而打壓銀價。”

湯普金斯補充說,中國經濟增長放緩可能會削弱銀飾需求,而電子產品銷售疲軟也會損害這種貴金屬的需求。全球趨勢還表明,經濟增長放緩將不利於白銀工業市場。

他表示:“全球電子產品採購經理人指數表明,該行業再次陷入低迷。”“鑑於我們預測發達經濟體的經濟活動將放緩,我們懷疑電子行業的活動將在未來幾個月繼續惡化。

然而,展望今年以後,他預計白銀的命運將在2024年有所改善。他預計明年年底金價將在每盎司25美元左右。這樣做的理由是,隨著經濟衰退的持續,美國貨幣政策的轉變將增加對白銀的投資需求,而白銀在2023年一直低迷。

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