白銀價格可能進一步跑贏黃金

黃金/白銀比的大幅調整可能導致白銀對黃金的進一步上漲。

Gold/Silver – Daily Chart
黃金/白銀-日線圖

黃金/白銀比已經跌破了96.499的支撐位,這可能會導致進一步的修正至74.66。

黃金/白銀比率從2021年的低點一直呈上升趨勢,並在過去兩年中得到鞏固。白銀的優異表現並不代表黃金價格一定會下跌,但白銀的漲幅應該大於競爭對手貴金屬。

這一走勢的原因可能與央行買盤回落、零售白銀買盤增加和/或商業需求增加或供應短缺有關。 2024年,白銀的工業需求更高,由於綠色能源需求,投資者希望白銀進一步上漲。

上週,現貨白銀(XAGUSD)飆升至36.40美元,2011年的高點為48美元。

Sprott Asset Management高級投資組合經理Maria Smirnova表示:“突破已經醞釀了一段時間。”“近幾個月來,白銀曾數次試圖突破35美元的水平,因此這一舉措意義重大。”

「此外,如果技術性走勢催化了實體投資者的買盤,白銀可能會迅速走高,」她補充道。

白銀市場的價值僅為2兆美元,而黃金的價值為22兆美元。這使得銀價更加不穩定。隨著週三稍晚公佈的美國5月份消費者物價指數,貴金屬將成為本週的焦點。

不管市場動態如何,近期該比率的價格活動可能會使白銀投資比黃金更有回報。

5月份,全球黃金ETF資金流入為負(減少18億美元),其中北美(減少15億美元)和亞洲(減少4.89億美元)領跌,而歐洲則出現流入(增加2.25億美元)。

市場可能對美中談判可能達成的貿易關稅問題持謹慎態度。

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