微軟第一季獲利再次取決於人工智慧進展

微軟股價隨著大盤下跌,但可能會從週二公佈的第一季財報中得到提振。

msft chart

MSFT週圖

微軟股價在觸及350美元附近的高點後仍處於掙扎,目前的交易價為326美元。股指持續疲軟是一種威脅,但下行空間有限,企業財報可能刺激股市進一步上漲。

花旗分析師Tyler Radke認為,由於更強勁的IT預算趨勢和新的可產生的人工智慧收入流,該公司的總收入和獲利能力正在加速成長。 Radke表示,公司的目光將集中在Azure雲端的成長和新的人工智慧工具Copilot上,這兩個領域的早期採用趨勢很明顯。

Radke也更新了他對動視的預測,指出雲端運算支出出現穩定跡象,但這被一些小的外匯不利因素所抵消。

這位分析師預計Azure的年增率為26%,這是一個很高的標準,可能會對微軟造成傷害。

投資者也在衡量最近與雲端運算巨頭亞馬遜達成的10億美元交易的影響。 據說亞馬遜將在員工中部署微軟365工具,亞馬遜將在五年內向微軟支付10億美元的授權費。

該股的關鍵指標之一將是Copilot人工智慧輔助工具,其定價為每月30美元。 bGoogle隨後推出了一款價格相同的競爭產品,用於自己的生產力工具,因此兩家公司將在這個新領域爭奪主導地位。

KeyBanc分析師Michael Turits維持對微軟的增持評級,目標價為400美元。 在第三季業績穩定,以及幾個大型通路對Azure的更好反饋(包括人工智慧對Azure成長的貢獻)之後,這位分析師在第一季收益前上調了預期。

一些分析師擔心,微軟的估值仍高於其科技同行,如果該公司在人工智慧方面沒有表現出強勁的進展,那麼其股價可能會出現一些下跌,這可能會損害其他人工智慧股票。

納斯達克科技指數收在9月低點附近,本周初可能出現反彈。 由於微軟的強勁收益,股價可能會升至350美元的高點,但弱於預期的人工智慧將是一個負面因素。

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