基於對經濟衰退的擔憂,金價飆升至3000美元上方的新高

由於美元仍面臨壓力,金價本週飆升至3000美元上方的新高。

XAUUSD – Daily Chart

現貨黃金-日線圖

黃金的價格已突破阻力位2,958美元,達到3,043美元上方的新高。除非美元變化,否則黃金會繼續升值。

市場預計,由於經濟放緩和經濟衰退風險,金價將繼續上漲,部分原因是唐納德·川普總統的關稅政策。

英國最大的線上交易商BullionByPost的主管Peter Walden表示:

「自1月份川普總統就職以來,隨著活動在2月份達到頂峰,我們觀察到尋求在其投資組合中增加實物黃金的散戶投資者顯著增加。在經濟不確定性和通膨擔憂的背景下,許多人將黃金視為最終的避險資產。”

他的公司今年的黃金銷量比去年增長了137%。

在聯準會維持利率不變,聯準會主席鮑威爾表示關稅的影響將是短期的之後,黃金價格在過去兩天停滯不前。

「我認為這是一種基本情況,」他說,並補充說,央行目前無法真正了解關稅將產生的整體影響。然而,一些分析人士並不相信關稅影響將是「暫時的」。

「風險在於,如果今年稍後增加額外的關稅,或者關稅推高了通膨預期和工資預期,關稅可能會對通膨產生更持久的影響,」阿波羅首席經濟學家托斯滕·斯洛克告訴《財富》雜誌。

川普表示,在關稅影響經濟的同時,央行應該降低利率。

美元回落是近期金價走勢的一大推手,投資人認為各國央行的黃金買盤將持續支撐金價的上行趨勢。鑑於目前的市場情緒,任何回檔都可能被許多看漲交易員視為一種折扣。

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