黃金價格穩定在歷史高點附近

黃金價格在歷史高點下方的一個小範圍內交易,並將尋求突破上行或下行。

XAUUSD – Daily Chart

黃金-日線圖

黃金的價格在周二找到了一個基礎,可能會朝著2950美元的歷史高點移動。下行支撐位在2825美元。

金價延續了自2月以來的上漲趨勢,在月底回落之前創下了多個新高。隨著全球風險隨著關稅和戰爭威脅而增加,這項措施在主要貨幣中得到了呼應。

根據世界黃金協會的黃金回報歸因模型,本月美元疲軟是黃金表現優異的主要驅動因素之一。地緣政治風險的增加和利率的下降增加了收益。

很大一部分購買來自黃金ETF活動,該活動淨流入94億美元(100噸),是自2022年3月以來最強勁的一個月。

瑞穗的Robert Yawger表示,“金價在混亂之中一直在盤整,距離歷史高點很近。”“離敲響鐘聲還有一天的時間。”

如果金價真的創出新高,隨著投資人將資金從遭受重創的科技股轉向黃金,金價可能會進一步走高。

另一個推動黃金上漲的因素是,美國戰略黃金儲備基地諾克斯堡的黃金不見了。川普表示,他將親自調查這個問題,但投資人正在考慮是否需要進一步從美國購買黃金。

這個理論得到了美國進口激增的支持,美國1月進口了創紀錄的3,295億美元的商品,比上個月多了360億美元。美國商務部的數據顯示,包括金條在內的成品金屬形狀佔月度進口成長的近60%。

實體黃金的趨勢可能會持續,如果下週左右創出新高,ETF的資金流動也將持續。

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