金价测试阻力位失败后回到支撑位

在未能守住上周早些时候的涨幅后,金价收于支撑位附近。

Gold – Daily Chart

黄金-日线图

金价在2,350美元附近被拒绝,并在2,325美元附近的支撑位收盘。如果没有买家出现,则支撑位将在2300美元以下。

黄金价格的强势有所降温,但仍录得第四个月上涨,因投资者预期美国货币政策将发生变化。

金属交易商Tai Wong告诉路透社:“尽管个人消费支出报告表现良好,消费者支出疲软,但金价仍在下跌,这可能表明,在2024年出现的显著反弹在短期内已经枯竭。”

各国央行的购买规模一直很大,地缘政治紧张局势也一直很高。美国和中国之间的摩擦导致中国减少了其持有的大量美国国债,并将资金投入黄金。印度也是一个大买家,它帮助抵消了今年黄金交易所交易基金的流出。

流向黄金ETF基金的资金减少了,因为美国股市仍接近历史高点,而投资者一直在寻求利用这波涨势获利。

“从历史上看,黄金ETF持有量的变化通常是由重大避险事件(当风险偏好下降时)和宽松货币政策周期引发的。我们的分析师预计,一旦美联储开始降息,ETF的持有量将会攀升。”

最近黄金价格的上涨影响了消费市场,随着金价飙升,手表制造商劳力士提高了手表的价格。不过,高盛还预计,由于“财富效应”,印度对黄金的支撑将上升,因为印度拥有庞大的国内黄金市场,其经济不断增长,消费者将继续变得更加富有。

目前,金价在连续四个月上涨后处于低位,本周的支撑可能决定回调的幅度。

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