投資者尋求避險,黃金多頭再度主導

黃金已經擺脫了2024年末的調整,向3000美元的水平飆升。

XAUUSD – Daily Chart

黃金-日線圖

黃金價格再次從12月的低點近2,600美元飆升至目前的2,906美元。 3000美元可能很快就會成為目標。

金價1月份收在每盎司2812美元的歷史高點,當月上漲8%,為1月份的強勁紀錄又增加了一個積極的開端。兌所有主要貨幣的匯率也創下歷史新高。

中國黃金市場的活動似乎也遵循了季節性模式,並暗示到2月可能會有一些後續行動。歐洲經濟已經穩定下來,但德國大選有可能進一步打壓美元。

這個歐盟最大的經濟體將於2月23日投票選出新議會。這次投票可能會引發國家領導層的變化,而弗里德里希·梅爾茨領導的保守派將成為領導下一屆政府的首選。

該國經濟前景的大幅放緩損害了歐元區整體經濟,目前的關稅是一種風險。新的領導層可能會幫助經濟重新啟動,推動國家和地區再次向前發展。

有趣的是,儘管最近加薩停火,以及烏克蘭和俄羅斯的和平談判,黃金也在飆升。唐納德·川普與弗拉基米爾·普丁和弗拉基米爾·澤倫斯基進行了兩次長時間的通話,並表示他將訪問俄羅斯,並提出在美國接待普丁。

川普表示,談判將「立即」開始,他試圖結束兩國長達三年的戰爭。他說,烏克蘭加入北約是不切實際的,而且不太可能收回所有被佔領的土地。

市場可能不信任和平進程,這意味著貴金屬價格持續飆升。

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