英鎊兌美元等待英國GDP增長數據

英鎊兌美元匯率正在等待周五英國經濟的GDP增長數據。

GBPUSD - Daily Chart

英鎊兌美元-日線圖

英鎊兌美元的關鍵上行目標位為1.34,但需要先突破1.30。GDP數據的發布可能會起到催化劑的作用,也可能在2025年的大幅上漲之後導致匯價回調。

香港時間下午3點公布的GDP數據預計將顯示月度增長0.1%,低於之前的0.4%。

英國一家領先的商業集團預測,英國將迎來“漫長而充滿挑戰的一年”。英國商會表示,高稅收和迫在眉睫的全球貿易戰是原因。它現在預計,到2025年底,GDP將僅增長0.9%,比之前預測的1.3%大幅下降。

英國商會警告說,今年預計的有限增長也將受到政府支出增加的推動,而不是繁忙的私營部門。英國商會補充說,雇主在2025年將難以投資,因為他們要努力應對國民保險稅和最低工資的上漲。

特朗普對鋼鐵等產品徵收的又一輪關稅是英國的另一個擔憂。

英國工業聯合會(CBI)政策官員John Foster表示:“在經濟周期的某個時刻,提振商業信心和釋放企業投資能力是啟動經濟增長的關鍵,但美國不斷升級的關稅形勢仍令人深感擔憂。”

即將公布的GDP數據對英國能否擺脫近期的低迷非常重要,美元兌全球貨幣的大幅貶值也可能被重新評估。

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