英鎊兌日圓聚焦CPI數據來測試上升趨勢

週三英國經濟消費者價格數據是英鎊兌日圓匯率的焦點。

英鎊兌日圓-日圖

英鎊兌日圓看起來正朝著較低水平進行測試,但能夠反彈回到上升趨勢。即將公佈的數據可能考驗交易員對英鎊的興趣。

英國消費者物價指數(CPI)將於香港時間週三下午3點公佈。分析師預計月度數據將下降至0.1%,但年度數據將從3.3%上升至3.6%。

來自該國的消息顯示,香菸和燃料價格似乎再次上漲。整體通貨膨脹水準在10月份回到了英格蘭銀行2%的目標之上,主要是因為價格上限上升後家庭能源費用上漲。由於交易員預計英國央行將放慢降息步伐,通膨上升給英鎊增添了動力。預計食品價格也將在節日前小幅上漲。

歐佩克+聯盟正在考慮推遲明年的增產計劃,原因是需求疲軟,以及來自非盟國的競爭生產,這可能會使油價在2025年之前停滯不前

德意志銀行高級經濟學家Sanjay Raja警告稱,由於營業稅上調和最低工資上調,2025年初的「壓力正在積聚」。

他說:「展望未來,我們將繼續看到更多的上漲壓力——特別是在服務業,因為雇主國民保險繳款(NICs)的上升、雇主NICs門檻的變化以及全國生活工資的提高都將在2025年初左右開始推高物價。

日本經濟最近以更快的速度成長,顯示經濟復甦更加強勁。截至9月份的三個月,國內生產毛額折合成年率成長1.2%,高於分析師預期的0.9%。目前的焦點是日本央行何時升息。

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