英國通膨公佈後,英鎊兌澳幣反彈至關鍵阻力位

週三,英國通膨數據出乎市場意料,超過5.1%,英鎊兌澳幣大幅反彈。

GBPAUD – Daily Chart

英鎊兌澳幣—日圖

英鎊兌澳元在2024年飆升,從1.870左右升至1.933。 英鎊兌澳元的阻力位可以追溯到去年10月,但如果漲勢繼續,則有上升到該水平上方的空間。

由於澳洲儲備銀行暫停升息,英鎊兌澳幣匯率飆升。 英國的通貨膨脹率較高,交易員預期英鎊兌澳元匯率會有溢價。 此後,市場焦點轉向了英國疲軟的經濟和預期中的降息。 然而,這種信念已經被今天超過5%的通貨膨脹所動搖。

澳洲經濟最近也在努力平衡匯率。

由於澳洲經濟就業數據將於香港時間上午8:30發布,明天阻力位將進行測試。 繼上月新增6.15萬個就業機會後,預計本月將放緩至17.6萬個。

由於中國經濟的鋼鐵產量不佳,澳元最近受到了打擊。 一份顯示中國今年GDP成長率為5.2%的報告可能會提振澳元。

中國12月份鋼鐵產量連續第五個月下降,較11月份下降11.4%,至6,744萬噸。 根據國家統計局的數據,這是自2017年12月以來的最低月產出。

西太平洋銀行分析師Robert Rennie表示:“沒有辦法‘粉飾’它,這就是中國12月份非常疲軟的鋼鐵產量數據。”

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