儘管面對天然氣危機,歐元兌美元仍有望反彈

儘管對天然氣價格感到擔憂,但 歐元兌美元 匯率已經從最近的急劇放緩中反彈。

EURUSD - Daily Chart

歐元兌美元—日圖

歐元兌美元已反彈至1.04875上方,阻力位在1.06。這將成為進一步上漲的障礙,下一個目標是1.07。

歐洲的一切似乎都出了問題,經濟陷入困境,烏克蘭局勢緊張,法國政府壓力重重,現在又出現了對能源的擔憂。

烏克蘭日益加劇的緊張局勢導致今年的房價飆升了45%左右。儘管這一水平仍遠低於2022年的紀錄,但已高到有可能加劇家庭生活成本危機,並給陷入困境的製造商帶來進一步壓力。

在最寒冷的時期,天然氣儲存是該國的生命線,但今年的庫存正在迅速下降,因為低溫增加了對供暖的需求,而風力乾旱需要更多的能源來發電。

自俄烏戰爭爆發兩年多來,歐洲一直在努力確保其能源系統的安全。市場趨緊凸顯出歐洲大陸在擺脫對俄羅斯化石燃料的依賴方面所面臨的挑戰。情況看起來會變得更糟,因為2024年幫助填補儲量的天然氣輸送明年可能無法使用。

RWE AG執行長Markus Krebber週五表示:「我們的天然氣供應仍然存在問題。」「如果我們真的想擺脫對俄羅斯天然氣的依賴,我們就需要有更多的進口能力,今年冬天我們可能會再次看到這種情況,因為冬季開始寒冷,天然氣儲存設施很快就會清空。

歐洲製造業數據將於香港時間週一下午5點左右公佈。

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