中國股市正逼近關鍵阻力位

中國股市正在努力測試一個關鍵的阻力位,這可能會開啟進一步上漲的空間。

CH50 – Weekly Chart

CH50週圖

CH50指數目前位於12309點,與2023年1月和7月的阻力位一致。如果市場可以從這裡繼續走高,目標水準將是12,800和13,600。

中國證券監督管理委員會推出一系列促進投資的措施後,中國股市得到支撐。因此,高盛的分析師現在認為,某些股票的漲幅可能高達40%。

該公司根據最近的指示確定了三個主要的政策行動領域,包括加強市場監管,努力提高上市公司的質量,實施更嚴格的退市機制,以及改善股東回報。

他們的分析稱,如果A股能夠縮小這些領域與國際平均的差距,它們的價值可能會成長20%。分析師表示,在更樂觀的情況下,如果A股達到全球領先的標準,它們「可能會有高達40%的重新評級」。

中國經濟也已穩定,有助於股市延續近期的看漲態勢。

「第一季度,從宏觀角度來看,整體經濟運作持續呈現復甦和改善的趨勢,」中國最高經濟規劃師李輝表示。我注意到,第一季經濟社會發展穩定。

根據國家統計局的數據,2024年前三個月,中國國內生產毛額年增5.3%,達到人民幣29.63兆元(合4.17兆美元)。

高盛和花旗集團最近發布的報告預測,中國政府能夠實現5%的GDP成長目標。他們相應地提高了對該國GDP成長的預測。

在中國經濟復甦步履蹣跚並出現嚴重資金外流之後,如果突破這一強勁阻力線,外資對中國股市的投資可能會重新抬頭。

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